Saturday, December 09, 2006

Jeane Kirkpatrick: Death of a Neo-(I)Con

Jeane Kirkpatrick, former Ambassador to the UN, passed away yesterday. I thought I was a neoconservative. I was pretty sure of it for ages and I have Jeane Kirkpatrick to blame for all that. My confusion had little to do with my youth or even with Jeane Kirkpatrick. It just so happens that the neoconservatism that I grew up with is fundamentally different than the one that is much maligned today. If the neocons rose to prominence in the '80s it had more to do with Jeane Kirkpatrick, who was without question the most important neocon in the Reagan Administration, than anyone else. As America's representative to the world she was consistently clear and certain to defend our interests and those of our allies. She was arguably the most powerful and influential UN Ambassador we ever had. She was much more than a mouthpiece she helped formulate policy and had the Prez's ear.

It was Kirkpatrick's piece in the neocon Commentary, "Dictatorships and Double Standards", that brought her to Reagan's attention. Reading it now one wonders where the neoconservatism of yore went:

Although most governments in the world are, as they always have been, autocracies of one kind or another, no idea holds greater sway in the mind of educated Americans than the belief that it is possible to democratize governments, anytime, anywhere, under any circumstances. This notion is belied by an enormous body of evidence based on the experience of dozens of countries which have attempted with more or less (usually less) success to move from autocratic to democratic government. Many of the wisest political scientists of this and previous centuries agree that democratic institutions are especially difficult to establish and maintain-because they make heavy demands on all portions of a population and because they depend on complex social, cultural, and economic conditions.
If a neocon would break ranks and write that today William Kristol would be ripping him/her on the cover of the Weekly Standard. Even the neocon acolyte and media darling that is Francis Fukuyama would have problems with this hard knuckled blast at the End of History. Actually I blame Fukuyama for the neocon nightmare - I know it isn't just him but the his essay and bloated book of the same name did more to inject Wilsonian elements to neocon mainstream than anything else. His contorted and distorted arguments of late claiming that he really did not mean for the "End of History" to really be about the inevitability of democracy don't hold up when you read his book again. Then I'd rather cede the argument than read it again. I know he's supposed to be a GENIUS but I can't read that crap.

Anyway this is supposed to be about Jeane Kirkpatrick. Being the little dork that I was I already had her autographed 8x10 glossy before she let loose in her infamous "Blame America First" speech that she gave in the '84 Republican National Convention - I'm almost certain that she was still a Dem at the time. The speech was vintage Kirkpatrick principled, intelligent and blunt:

A recent article in The New York Times noted that "the foreign policy line that emerged from the Democratic National Convention in San Francisco is a distinct shift from the policies of such [Democratic] presidents as Harry S Truman, John F. Kennedy and Lyndon B. Johnson."

I agree.

I shall speak tonight of foreign affairs even though the other party's convention barely touched the subject.

When the San Francisco Democrats treat foreign affairs as an afterthought, as they did, they behaved less like a dove or a hawk than like an ostrich - convinced it would shut out the world by hiding its head in the sand.

Today, foreign policy is central to the security, to the freedom, to the prosperity, even to the survival of the United States.

And our strength, for which we make many sacrifices, is essential to the independence and freedom of our allies and our friends.

She went on to state:

They said that saving Grenada from terror and totalitarianism was the wrong thing to do - they didn't blame Cuba or the communists for threatening American students and murdering Grenadians - they blamed the United States instead.

But then, somehow, they always blame America first.

When our Marines, sent to Lebanon on a multinational peacekeeping mission with the consent of the United States Congress, were murdered in their sleep, the "blame America first crowd" didn't blame the terrorists who murdered the Marines, they blamed the United States.

But then, they always blame America first.

When the Soviet Union walked out of arms control negotiations, and refused even to discuss the issues, the San Francisco Democrats didn't blame Soviet intransigence. They blamed the United States.

But then, they always blame America first.

When Marxist dictators shoot their way to power in Central America, the San Francisco Democrats don't blame the guerrillas and their Soviet allies, they blame United States policies of 100 years ago.

But then, they always blame America first.

The American people know better.

They know that Ronald Reagan and the United States didn't cause Marxist dictatorship in Nicaragua, or the repression in Poland, or the brutal new offensives in Afghanistan, or the destruction of the Korean airliner, or the new attacks on religious and ethnic groups in the Soviet Union, or the jamming of western broadcasts, or the denial of Jewish emigration, or the brutal imprisonment of Anatoly Shcharansky and Ida Nudel, or the obscene treatment of Andrei Sakharov and Yelena Bonner, or the re-Stalinization of the Soviet Union.

The American people know that it's dangerous to blame ourselves for terrible problems that we did not cause.

They understand just as the distinguished French writer, Jean Francois Revel, understands the dangers of endless self- criticism and self-denigration.

He wrote: "Clearly, a civilization that feels guilty for everything it is and does will lack the energy and conviction to defend itself."

With the election of Ronald Reagan, the American people declared to the world that we have the necessary energy and conviction to defend ourselves, and that we have as well a deep commitment to peace.
I miss being a neoconservative and I will miss Jeane Kirkpatrick.

Friday, December 08, 2006

'Tis the Season: Fidel Could be Dead by Christmas

Diplo sources are saying that the old tyrant just isn't going to make it...Joy to the World....

LA Quick Hits:"Paras" Aren't Talking, Mexico Corrupt?, Calderon Swings Left?,Still Hungry in Bolivia, Lula Gets Love and More

A Nice Way of Saying Screw You

Rep. Eliot Engel, the ranking Dem on the subcommittee on the Western Hemisphere, said that the we need to take a more socially responsible approach to LA. This is his way of stating his hope to stradle developing economies with first world labor regulations and enviromental protections.

Thursday, December 07, 2006

Support for Democracy on the Rise in LA

  • W and Hugo are equally hated
  • A majority think that democracy is the best thing going...
  • but support is falling in Venezuela and El Salvador
  • The biggest concerns were unemployment/poverty and crime/public security - I could have told them that.
  • There isn't much faith in public institutions or the sanctity of elections
Check out the links - there are plenty of charts and interesting data.

LA Quick Hits:

Let's face it with the Iraq Study Group report breaking out - there wasn't much oxygen domestically for LA news. Nonetheless there are a number of offerings:

Wednesday, December 06, 2006

Read the Report...

I'm supposed to read this stuff so you don't have to but I have not had the time. The Iraq Study Group report is available online. I've only skimmed it and while intersting the sections on Iran and Syria are more wishful thinking than anything else.

Monday, December 04, 2006

Coup in Fiji

Everyone has been waiting for it to happen and it has - the coup in Fiji seems to have started. Late last week Curzon from Coming Anarchy noted that trouble in the South Pacific is nothing new. Since the end of colonialism the island nations of the South Pacific have struggled to find stability.

LA Quick Hits: Hugo Wins Huge, Calderon Cuts II, The New Demagogues, Pinochet Lives! (Barely), Cuban Embargo Talk and More

Saturday, December 02, 2006

Ships Registry: Mongolia

This comes courtesy of Curzon at Coming Anarchy: Mongolia which probably has had a coastline since the days of Genghis and Kublai Khan engaged in ship registration since 2004. I have never actually seen a Mongolian registered ship but Curzon helpfully provides a photo.

LA Quick Hits: Calderon Wins, Calderon Cuts, Hugo Boss, Fidel's Fiesta, Uribe Strikes and Ecuador Doesn't

Chavez and Crime

The predictably clueless NYT scratches its head wondering about the spike in crime in Venezuela. First there is the issue that the topic does not seem to dent Hugo's popularity. Equally perplexing is the fact that the economy is technically booming and poverty has been alleviated "somewhat." Foreign Policy actually had a Hugo cover story (reg. required) discussing this very issue. The writer, Javier Corrales, saw the instability as part of Hugo's master plan to maintain power:
Ultimately, all authoritarian regimes seek power by following the same principle. They raise society's tolerance for state intervention. Thomas Hobbes, the 17th-century British philosopher, offered some tips for accomplishing this goal. The more insecurity that citizens face the closer they come to living in the brutish state of nature the more they will welcome state power. Chavez may not have read Hobbes, but he understands Hobbesian thinking to perfection. He knows that citizens who see a world collapsing will appreciate state interventions. Chavez therefore has no incentive to address Venezuela's assorted crises. Rather than mending the country's catastrophic healthcare system, he opens a few military hospitals for selected patients and brings in Cuban doctors to run ad hoc clinics. Rather than addressing the economy's lack of competitiveness, he offers subsidies and protection to economic agents in trouble. Rather than killing inflation, which is crucial to alleviating poverty, Chavez sets price controls and creates local grocery stores with subsidized prices. Rather than promoting stable property rights to boost investment and employment, he expands state employment.
In a box accompanying the piece Chavez's style of authoritarianism was contrasted traditionalaidtional authoritarian method. While trads may seek control with public order, intimidation and torture; Hugo finds that rampant crime keeps people off of the streets.

Quick Hits Coming Later...Maybe

Got a late start and had a busy morning may not get to them today...

Thursday, November 30, 2006

Bipartisan BS

One of the things that annoys me most is bs bipartisanship. Partnership for a Secure America says all the right things and even tops off its Advisory Board with two Republicans yet you don't have to dig to far to find it's Dem angle. The staff of four only has one from the GOP. Its blog, Across the Aisle, has ten contributors, only one of which comes from the party of Lincoln. Rather absurdly a recent post even refers to the moderate Lincoln Chafee. Now I don't have a personal beef with Sen. Chaffee but why insist on labeling a lefty member of the Senate as such. What conservative position did he ever advocate?

The New Citizenship

The Heritage Foundation brags about its involvement in devising the new citizenship test. The new exam will be tried out in 10 locations, including Miami (this has the wife a tad freaked). All 144 questions and answers are now available online. I like the new test it stresses concepts and meanings of American historical moments rather than focusing on names and dates. It gives prospective citizens a better understanding of what it means to be an American.

Congo: Peacekeeping/Nationbuilding Done Right?

Writing for TNR Peter Beinhart contrasts the deteriorating effort in Afganistan and the abject failure of Iraq with the relative success of Congo. The difference? The UN has supposedly learned the lessons from past failures and the US discarded these lessons and decided to start from scratch.

Bundling (Linkage) in the Mid East

In its Daily Analysis CFR hypes up the idea of "bundling" initiatives in the Mid East. Personally it seems like a newer fancier way of saying "linkage" Henry K's preferred method of negotiation.

The Dollar's Slide

Visit the Council on Foreign Relations site long enough and sooner or later you'll on see "New CFR Books." Among those listed is Playing Monopoly with the Devil: Dollarization and Domestic Currencies in Developing Countries. I have not read it and probably won't get around to it but based on what the site says the author, Manuel Hinds, argues that developing countries should adopt the dollar for development. Not a terrible prescription actually. Both Hong Kong and Chile began their success stories with currency boards and no lesser an authority than Milton Friedman seemed to support the idea of currency boards in one of his later works, Money Mischief. Nonetheless with the dollar at its lowest point in 14 years against the sterling I can think of a better time for a book such as this be published. The Economist tries to make sense of the dollar's slide blaming a soft economy, the current account deficit, the burgeoning housing bust among other things.

LA Quick Hits: The Murdering Prez, Mayhem in Mex, Evo Wins and Chile Changes